The Future

A dear friend of mine forwarded this bit of startling information!  Our world is indeed changing faster than we notice while we are going through our daily activities, “just riding the bus” so to speak.
Best wishes for a Happy and Prosperous New Year!

 

The FUTURE is approaching faster than one can handle….!  ?????

In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide.

Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt.

What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 years and, most people won’t see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on film again?

Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975.  The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore’s law.  So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few short years.  It will now happen  again with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and  electric cars, education, 3Dprinting, agriculture and  jobs.   Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.  Welcome to the Exponential Age.      

Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.

Uber is just a software tool, they don’t own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the  world.

 

Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don’t own any properties.

Artificial Intelligence:  Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.

In the U.S., young lawyers already don’t get jobs. Because of IBM’s Watson, you can get legal advice  (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.

So if you study law, stop immediately.  There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain.

Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, it’s times more accurate than human nurses.

Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans.  In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans. (NEVER!/Albert)

Autonomous  cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars  will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don’t want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving.

Our kids will never get a driver’s license and will never own a car.

It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that.  We can transform former parking spaces into parks.

1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles  (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to accident in 6 million miles  (10 million km). That will save a million lives each year.

Most car companies will probably become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.

Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla.

Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.

Real estate will change.  Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighbourhood.

Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020.  Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.

Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean:  Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact.

Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil.  Energy companies are desperately trying to limit  access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar  installations, but that can’t last.  Technology will take care of that strategy.

With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents). We don’t have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water.   Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.

Health: The Tricorder X price  will be announced this year.  There are companies who will build a medical device (called the “Tricorder” from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample  and you breath into it.

It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease.  It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medical analysis, nearly for free Goodbye, medical  establishment.

3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from  $18,000 to $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All major shoe companies have already started 3D printing  shoes.

Some spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports.  The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.

At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities.  You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home.

In China, they already  3D printed and built a  complete 6-storey office building.  By  202710% of everything that’s being   produced will be 3D printed.

Business  opportunities: If you think of a niche  you want to go in, first ask yourself: “In the future, do I think we will have that?” and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?

If it doesn’t work with your phone, forget the idea.  And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure in the 21st century.

Work70-80% of jobs will disappear in  the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a short time.  This will require a rethink on wealth distribution.              

Agriculture: There will be a  $100 agricultural robot in the future.  Farmers in 3rd world countries can then  become managers of their field instead of working all day on their  fields.

Aeroponics will need much less water.  The first Petri dish produced veal, is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces are used for cows. Imagine if we don’t need that space anymore.

There are several start-ups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly.  It contains more protein than meat. It will be labeled as “alternative protein source”  (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).

There is an app called “moodies” which can already tell in which mood youre in. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if you are lying.  Imagine a political debate where it’s being displayed when theyre telling the truth and when theyre not.

Sign the petition: End the Electoral College

Sign if you agree: It’s time we abolish the Electoral College and elect Presidents by national popular vote.

On November 8, the American people spoke clearly, and chose Hillary Clinton for President.

As of this writing, Clinton leads the popular vote by roughly 20,000 votes, with 92% counted. Further, her lead will likely to grow, with most of the remaining votes coming from blue states California, Oregon and Washington.

However, because Clinton’s support was geographically concentrated, Donald Trump will win the Electoral College and become President of the United States.

This comes only sixteen years after Al Gore won the popular vote but did not become President of the United States, in a similar affront to democracy.

It is long past time that we stopped using the Electoral College to choose our Presidents, and started using the national popular vote instead. Every vote should count equally. Every state should be a swing state.

Sign the petition: End the Electoral College. Elect Presidents by national popular vote.

There is a realistic path to making an end-run around the Electoral College in time for the 2020 election. This is because we don’t need a constitutional amendment to stop using the Electoral College. We only need the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact:

The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) is an agreement among several U.S. states and the District of Columbia to award all their respective electoral votes to whichever presidential candidate wins the overall popular vote in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. The compact is designed to ensure that the candidate who wins the most popular votes is elected president, and it will come into effect only when it will guarantee that outcome.[2][3]As of 2016, it has been joined by ten states and the District of Columbia; their 165 combined electoral votes amount to 30.7% of the total Electoral College vote, and 61.1% of the 270 votes needed for it to have legal force.

If states and territories totaling at least 270 electoral votes pass laws joining the National Popular Vote Compact, then the next presidential election will be determined by the winner of the national popular vote. We are already up to 165.

If we can make eliminating the Electoral College a national issue broadly adopted by elected Democrats, and if Democrats can do well at the state level in the 2018 midterm elections–which is realistic in the event of an unpopular President Trump–then in 2019 we can pass laws that would make the 2020 presidential election determined by the popular vote. 

(Since you might be wondering, according to the compact, states do not change the way they determine their electoral votes until enough states join that the 270 electoral vote threshold is reached. So, for example, California will only start awarding its electoral votes to the national popular vote winner instead of the state popular vote winner once states equalling 270 electoral votes have decided to do the same.)

So this is something we can actually pull off. It starts by telling all elected Democrats that you have had enough of the Electoral College, and that whenever possible they must pass laws to have their states join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact.

Add your name: End the Electoral College and choose our Presidents by national popular vote.

Keep fighting,
Chris Bowers
Executive Campaign Director, Daily Kos

Your Digital Afterlife in the Cloud

Posted by Charlene Delaney

A couple of weeks ago I sent out the piece on how long we should save certain records. I received the below response from a dear client of mine and thought it was definitely worth sharing with you and something we should all think about and get a handle on.

Thanks for the information. It brings to mind something that my family lived through very recently.

I had an uncle die unexpectedly back in late August and his passing has left my aunt and cousins scrambling to pick up the pieces of his digital life. Since most of his records were electronic, there was no physical paper trail to figure out where the money was coming from and which debts needed to be serviced. Even worse: he was the executor of his sister’s living will who is in a hospice. He was sending money every month to pay for her care, but nobody knows from where the money was being drawn. My cousin called me in tears a few weeks ago, completely frustrated at her attempts to log in to his PC or his email account. She was hurt and angry that her father would subject the family to this ordeal. It was gut wrenching.

So now I want to remind people that online accounts are just as important as physical documents important at the end of life, if not more so as we continue to move more of our life into the ‘cloud.’ (So ironic since the cloud is a metaphor for the after-life!)

Another resource I’ve discovered is a list of digital “post death” services that can help the survivors. They would have to be setup ahead of time but they could be used, for example, to trigger an email with account and password information. 

http://www.thedigitalbeyond.com/online-services-list/

Hope this wasn’t too depressing! Just wanted to share this with you.

If you missed the previous piece, click here: How Long Should You Save Records?

When wounded British soldier is asked to support Islamophobia, he pens tremendous response

Original post By Walter Einenkel 

Wednesday Dec 09, 2015  11:13 AM PST